Newt Gingrich will not be able to beat Barack Obama in this year’s Presidential election. Why? Because he can’t win the independent vote. I’m probably speaking more from personal perspective than anything else, but I don’t believe Gingrich can pull centrist voters like myself. He’s just too divisive and too far right for my tastes. He won’t swing independents to his side. This outlook is confirmed in several recent polls:
“A new Quinnipiac University poll released Thursday showed Romney, a former Massachusetts governor, running even with Obama at 45 percent each. The president holds a 50 percent to 39 percent lead over Gingrich, a former speaker of the U.S. House.
A Suffolk University/WSVN-Ch. 7 poll released Wednesday evening found Romney leading Obama 47 percent to 42 percent among Florida voters, but Obama ahead of Gingrich, 44 percent to 38 percent.
Both polls found the big difference between Romney and Gingrich is among independent voters, who support Romney over Obama much more than they back Gingrich over Obama.
Among independents polled by Suffolk/WSVN, Obama led Romney 44 percent to 38 percent and held a commanding 56 percent to 29 percent advantage over Gingrich.”
Romney, on other hand, is a much more attractive candidate from a centrist’s position and if he chooses the right running mate and handles the Obama debates fairly well, I think he can use some of Obama’s weaknesses over the last few years to make a solid case for election. As an undecided, I can be pulled into the Romney camp. But I can also be pushed away into the Obama camp (which is likely what Gingrich will do to voters like myself).
I don’t like to do politics here, but hey, we only elect a President once every four years. And in my opinion, a vote for Newt today, is a vote for Obama tomorrow….