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Andy Xie has some excellent thoughts on the likelihood of a v-shaped recovery:

A growing liquidity bubble that ignores structural facts is the basis for today’s happy talk about a comeback for the global economy.The United States is beginning to report data showing strong economic growth. Analysts are upgrading their outlooks for the U.S. economy, which is expected to grow at an annualized pace of 3 to 4 percent. And even before the U.S. revival emerged in the third quarter, China’s data pointed toward a quick rebound in the second quarter.

Is the global economy staging a V-shaped bounce? The buoyant financial market had been expecting a rebound for months. Was the market right?

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