For some perspective on one of the more important global stock markets, today’s chart focuses on Chinese stocks and presents the current trend of the iShares FTSE/Xinhua China 25 Index (FXI). As today’s chart illustrates, Chinese stocks have endured what amounts to an extremely wild ride since 2005. The FXI trended upward at an ever accelerating rate (i.e. parabolic) from 2005 to Q4 2007. As the credit bubble began to unravel, so too did Chinese stocks with the FXI trending downward at an ever accelerating rate from Q4 2007 to Q4 2008. Beginning in Q4 2008, the FXI surged — gaining over 140% trough to peak. Back in April of 2009, the FXI broke below support of its post-financial crisis rally trend channel — right around the time that all of the major US indices (e.g. Dow, S&P 500, Nasdaq, Russell 2000) put in their most recent peak. So it is worth noting that the FXI has just tested and pulled back from resistance of its current downward-sloping trend channel.
Notes:
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Mr. Roche is the Founder and Chief Investment Officer of Discipline Funds.Discipline Funds is a low fee financial advisory firm with a focus on helping people be more disciplined with their finances.
He is also the author of Pragmatic Capitalism: What Every Investor Needs to Understand About Money and Finance, Understanding the Modern Monetary System and Understanding Modern Portfolio Construction.