Here’s some good perspective on the long-term trend in US government bond yields via Chart of the Day:
“For some perspective on all-important long-term interest rates, today’s chart illustrates the 112-year trend of the 10-year Treasury bond yield (thick blue line). Escalating concerns over Europe in addition to a struggling global economy have encouraged investors, institutions and governments alike to move a portion of their investment dollars to the relative safety of the US. This has resulted in a significant decline of the 10-year Treasury bond yield. In fact, the 10-year yield has declined a fairly dramatic 340 basis points (i.e. 3.4%) since the peak of the credit bubble. This decline has brought the 10-year Treasury bond yield to a 112-year low. The decline of the 10-year Treasury bond yield has been significant enough to bring the 10-year yield near resistance of what is a 26-year downtrend channel.”
Mr. Roche is the Founder and Chief Investment Officer of Discipline Funds.Discipline Funds is a low fee financial advisory firm with a focus on helping people be more disciplined with their finances.
He is also the author of Pragmatic Capitalism: What Every Investor Needs to Understand About Money and Finance, Understanding the Modern Monetary System and Understanding Modern Portfolio Construction.