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Sam Stovall: Prepare for More Turbulence

Interesting market thoughts here by Sam Stovall of S&P who notesΒ that 2014 should be much more turbulent than 2013:

  • Mid-term election years tend to have higher than normal occurrences of 5%+ declines.
  • Tapering will inject uncertainty.
  • At 27 months since the last correction, we’re well beyond the 18 month historical average.
  • A correction will occur, but it shouldn’t turn into a bear market (20%+ decline).
  • The 2nd and 3rd quarter of mid-term election years tend to be the weakest during bull markets.

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