Interesting data here from Kiplingers. Their new Recovery Index identifies six important indicators that point to a weak or strong economic environment and provide some insight as to whether we are in a bull or bear market:
Identifying a turn in the economy is tricky business, especially when each day’s news seems to bring conflicting information. To cut through the noise, we’ve identified six key economic indicators. Two have turned fully positive – interest rates spreads and home sales – and when three of the six indicators go fully positive, it’s more than likely that the recession has ended. Stay tuned.
Mr. Roche is the Founder and Chief Investment Officer of Discipline Funds.Discipline Funds is a low fee financial advisory firm with a focus on helping people be more disciplined with their finances.
He is also the author of Pragmatic Capitalism: What Every Investor Needs to Understand About Money and Finance, Understanding the Modern Monetary System and Understanding Modern Portfolio Construction.