Investors Business Daily’s Big Picture market tracker has been a remarkably prescient indicator over the course of the last year. This simple indicator created by William O’Neill represents the M in his CAN SLIM approach to investing. Following this indicator kept investors out of the major losses last year and got you back in the market early enough to capture the majority of the gains off the March bottom. They’ve been bullish throughout the massive rally and just changed their outlook to negative for the first time since the rally began. They note the high volume of the recent sell-off, loss of leadership, and high number of distribution days as the reasons for their move to a bearish stance. They now recommend avoiding new stock purchases altogether until the market begins to exhibit some signs of strength:
“Now that the market is in a correction, what should you do? First off, new stock buys should be off the table. A correction is the perfect climate for failed breakouts.”
Mr. Roche is the Founder and Chief Investment Officer of Discipline Funds.Discipline Funds is a low fee financial advisory firm with a focus on helping people be more disciplined with their finances.
He is also the author of Pragmatic Capitalism: What Every Investor Needs to Understand About Money and Finance, Understanding the Modern Monetary System and Understanding Modern Portfolio Construction.