The chatter of a bubble in gold is gaining more and more momentum and while I believe there is a high probability of an irrational bubble forming in gold we are still far from being in bubble territory. If you consider gold in real terms we’re still 91% from the all-time highs (via Bloomberg):
“The CHART OF THE DAY shows the gold price relative to January 1980, when the metal reached $873 an ounce. Yesterday’s record close in New York trading equals $454.88 an ounce in real terms, reflecting an increase in the U.S. consumer price index, according to data compiled by Bloomberg.
Gold would have to rise above $2,435 an ounce to exceed its high from three decades ago, based on the CPI’s current reading. That’s 91 percent higher than the closing price of $1,272.20 in New York trading yesterday.”
Source: Bloomberg
Mr. Roche is the Founder and Chief Investment Officer of Discipline Funds.Discipline Funds is a low fee financial advisory firm with a focus on helping people be more disciplined with their finances.
He is also the author of Pragmatic Capitalism: What Every Investor Needs to Understand About Money and Finance, Understanding the Modern Monetary System and Understanding Modern Portfolio Construction.
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