This morning’s new home sales report and the FHFA House Price Index are confirming that housing is indeed double dipping. According to the latest new homes sales report median prices plunged -13.9% in October to $194,900. The average price fell -8% to $248,200. Supply of new homes rose sharply to 8.6 months.
The FHFA’s House Price Index fell -3.2% year over year in the third quarter:
“FHFA’s seasonally adjusted monthly index for September was down 0.7 percent from its August value. The monthly increase for the July-to-August period was revised from an initial estimate of +0.4 percent to 0.0 percent (flat prices).
While the national, purchase-only house price index fell 3.2 percent from the third quarter of 2009 to the third quarter of 2010, prices of other goods and services rose 2.0 percent over the same period. Accordingly, the inflation-adjusted price of homes fell approximately 5.1 percent over the latest year.”
Mr. Roche is the Founder and Chief Investment Officer of Discipline Funds.Discipline Funds is a low fee financial advisory firm with a focus on helping people be more disciplined with their finances.
He is also the author of Pragmatic Capitalism: What Every Investor Needs to Understand About Money and Finance, Understanding the Modern Monetary System and Understanding Modern Portfolio Construction.