The ECRI continues to believe the recovery is going to be quite robust. From the ECRI:
A weekly gauge of future U.S. economic growth climbed higher in the latest week, while its yearly growth rate reached a new all-time high, reaffirming projections of a brisk, uninterrupted recovery.
The Economic Cycle Research Institute, a New York-based independent forecasting group, said its Weekly Leading Index rose to a 60-week high of 127.8 in the week to Sept. 18 from an downwardly revised 126.1 the previous week, which was originally reported as 126.2.
It was the highest WLI reading since July 25, 2008, when it also stood at 127.8.
The index’s yearly growth rate rose to a fresh record high of 24.3 percent from last week’s high of 22.9 percent.
Last week, ECRI Managing Director Lakshman Achuthan told Reuters that the group expects an “unstoppable” recovery with “no relevant roadblocks.” Fears over mounting unemployment, debt-laden consumers, and dips in recovery are typical of recessionary times, he said.
“With WLI growth climbing to a fresh record high, the economic recovery is far from fragile,” Achuthan said on
The index rose in the latest week because of stronger housing activity, ECRI said.
Mr. Roche is the Founder and Chief Investment Officer of Discipline Funds.Discipline Funds is a low fee financial advisory firm with a focus on helping people be more disciplined with their finances.
He is also the author of Pragmatic Capitalism: What Every Investor Needs to Understand About Money and Finance, Understanding the Modern Monetary System and Understanding Modern Portfolio Construction.