For a group that has been pounding the table over the unstoppable recovery they appear to be tempering their outlook a bit. The ECRI is now reporting that the economic recovery is easing, but should see continued strength ahead:
(Reuters) – A weekly measure of future U.S. economic growth rose in the latest week while its yearly growth rate edged lower, indicating that the economic recovery, while easing, is still poised to strengthen in the near term, a research group said on Friday.
The Economic Cycle Research Institute, a New York-based independent forecasting group, said its Weekly Leading Index ticked up to 128.4 in the week to Oct. 23 from 127.9 the previous week.
The index’s yearly growth rate fell to 26.9 percent from 27.2 percent last week. ECRI has recently reported annualized economic growth at all-time highs.
“Despite coming off its early-October record high, WLI growth remains robust, suggesting that the U.S. economic recovery will continue to gather strength in the coming months,” said ECRI Managing Director Lakshman Achuthan.
The weekly index was up due to higher commodity prices, Achuthan said. The growth rate is derived from a four-week moving average, and occasionally moves inversely to the weekly index level.
Mr. Roche is the Founder and Chief Investment Officer of Discipline Funds.Discipline Funds is a low fee financial advisory firm with a focus on helping people be more disciplined with their finances.
He is also the author of Pragmatic Capitalism: What Every Investor Needs to Understand About Money and Finance, Understanding the Modern Monetary System and Understanding Modern Portfolio Construction.