Lakshman Achuthan, managing director of the ECRI says it’s premature to be calling for a double dip recession. The ECRI’s leading indicator fell to 122.2 from 122.6 this week while the index’s annualized growth rate rose to -8.7% from -9.3%. The much reported growth rate has improved in recent weeks. All in all Achuthan believes it’s too early to be too bearish:
“After a brief plunge in the late spring, the WLI has been fairly stable throughout the summer and into September, suggesting that it is still premature to predict a new recession.”
Mr. Roche is the Founder and Chief Investment Officer of Discipline Funds.Discipline Funds is a low fee financial advisory firm with a focus on helping people be more disciplined with their finances.
He is also the author of Pragmatic Capitalism: What Every Investor Needs to Understand About Money and Finance, Understanding the Modern Monetary System and Understanding Modern Portfolio Construction.