The ECRI confirmed what yesterday’s GDP report is telling us – the economy remains in recovery, however, is beginning to slow. From Reuters:
A measure of future U.S. economic growth rose in the latest week but its annualized growth rate fell, signaling a slowing in the pace of economic growth going forward, a research group said on Friday. The Economic Cycle Research Institute, a New York-based independent forecasting group, said its Weekly Leading Index rose to an almost two-year high of 133.7 for the week ended April 23, from 133.0 the prior week.
That was the highest level since May 9, 2008, when it stood at 133.8. But the index’s annualized growth rate fell to a 38-week low of 12.4 percent from 12.5 percent a week earlier. That was the lowest since July 31, 2009, when it stood at 11.2 percent. “With WLI growth declining to a 38-week low, overall U.S. economic growth will soon begin to ease, in line with the downshift in GDP growth shown in this morning’s data,” said Lakshman Achuthan, managing director of ECRI.
Mr. Roche is the Founder and Chief Investment Officer of Discipline Funds.Discipline Funds is a low fee financial advisory firm with a focus on helping people be more disciplined with their finances.
He is also the author of Pragmatic Capitalism: What Every Investor Needs to Understand About Money and Finance, Understanding the Modern Monetary System and Understanding Modern Portfolio Construction.