No comment necessary on this one.
A few weeks ago, we noted the relationship between an inverted VIX curve and declines in the S&P500 (see here). Taking a longer-term view, we see that the last few years have been relatively quiet–characterized by few, intermittent inversions and minor pullbacks in the index. A larger spike than we saw last week and/or a sustained inversion between prices of the VIX and the 3-month VIX would be symptomatic of a more meaningful correction:
The AAII’s July asset allocation survey showed growing overall bullishness from retail investors as equity allocations jumped to their highest levels of 2014. The current reading of 67.5% is the second highest monthly reading since the bull market began in 2009.
More scary charts for you….Sorry.
If rail is an indicator of broader macro trends then this continues to point to a strong Q2 rebound in economic growth.
Does money really buy you happiness?
A strange thing has happened ever since the “tapering” began last December – interest rates have fallen, stocks have risen and inflation expectations have actually increased. This is almost exactly [ … ]
We’ve officially round tripped it now. Not only is the VIX at pre-crisis lows, but corporations are now issuing dividends and buying back shares like the crisis never happened
Not much to say here. Just a chart of the volatility index. Right back to where we were before the crisis occurred and fast approaching the all-time lows….