In the past few years I’ve often noted the tendency of China’s Shanghai composite to lead the US equity market. It led us down from 2007, bottomed before the S&P in 2008, topped in late 2009, signaled a death cross signal several months before the S&P signaled the same indicator (which subsequently sent the bears on a rampage), deteriorated noticeably in April (while US stocks were hitting their highs) and has since bottomed in July. The index has rallied 14% off its lows and at this juncture is providing a pretty bullish indication for US stocks.
Mr. Roche is the Founder and Chief Investment Officer of Discipline Funds.Discipline Funds is a low fee financial advisory firm with a focus on helping people be more disciplined with their finances.
He is also the author of Pragmatic Capitalism: What Every Investor Needs to Understand About Money and Finance, Understanding the Modern Monetary System and Understanding Modern Portfolio Construction.