This is an action packed week:
Tuesday – Producer Price Index (PPI), auto sales, earnings from GS, JNJ, INTC, and CSX.
Wednesday – Consumer Price Index (CPI), Empire State manufacturing index, industrial production and Fed Beige Book.
Thursday – March housing starts and building permits, weekly initial jobless claims and earnings from GOOG and JPM.
Friday – Preliminary April University of Michigan consumer confidence surveym option expiry, and earnings from Citi and GE.
My guess is we’re going to get “better than expected” earnings from Government Sachs and the other financials. Don’t be surprised if we get a number of prereleases from banks that report later in the week or during the following week. The Wells Fargo news is going to press many of these companies to show their cards and prove that they too are “strong”. Unfortunately, this is the result of more government tinkering with the market so this market remains too risky to short. My risk indicators haven’t been this elevated since the bear market began, but you just can’t get in front of the government’s games.
Mr. Roche is the Founder and Chief Investment Officer of Discipline Funds.Discipline Funds is a low fee financial advisory firm with a focus on helping people be more disciplined with their finances.
He is also the author of Pragmatic Capitalism: What Every Investor Needs to Understand About Money and Finance, Understanding the Modern Monetary System and Understanding Modern Portfolio Construction.
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