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Pragmatic Capitalism

Practical Views on Money, Finance & Life

2008 Has Already Happened in the Energy Sector

We’re approaching a level of truly horrific returns in the energy space as the price of oil continues to crumble in the early days of 2016.  There are quite a few people predicting a repeat of 2008, but the reality is that the energy space has already experienced its 2008.

To put things in perspective, here’s a chart of the energy sector’s performance over the course of the last two booms and busts.  During the 2003-2008 bull market the energy sector rallied 290% before cratering about 45%.  The sector then rallied 140% off the 2009 lows before topping in 2014 and collapsing 41%.

energy

A number of analysts have predicted that the price of oil could decline to $20 in which case the pain is likely to get worse in the short-term here.  But for those predicting that 2008 is right around the corner – well, it already happened.  Savvy players in this space have to be licking their lips at some of the long-term possibilities out there as the bear market in the commodity space creates opportunities for those who were a bit more prudent during the boom.

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