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Rate Cut

  • If I said there was going to be a 50 basis point rate CUT at or before the next meeting on 6/18, what odds would the market have to give you to place that wager and what odds do you think are fair?
10:1, 100:1, 1000:1, etc
I am curious to hear your opinion.

Well, after this morning's employment report I'd say the odds are about 0%.

🙂

"Pragmatic Capitalism is the best website on the Internet. Just trust me. Please?" - Cullen Roche

I will buy your 0%’s if you are selling there.   With the New tariffs on China, maybe the probability just went up from zero to 1%.