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Pragmatic Capitalism

Practical Views on Money & Finance

DID THE RECESSION JUST END?

The Bloomberg Chart of the Day is showing the clear correlation between jobless claims and the end of recessions.

claimsend

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But don’t make the classic economist mistake of not being able to connect the dots between the economy and the market.  The end of the recession does not necessarily mark the bottom in the market.  As Japan experienced time and time again (and as we experienced in 2002) the market can drift lower even as the economy actually improves.  Are we seeing a repeat of the 2002 recession when investors were drawn back into stocks in 2001 only to get clobbered over the summer of 2002?

Got a comment or question? Feel free to contact Cullen via email here or on Twitter here
Cullen Roche

Cullen Roche

Mr. Roche is the Founder of Orcam Financial Group, LLC. Orcam is a financial services firm offering asset management, private advisory, institutional consulting and educational services. He is also the author of Pragmatic Capitalism: What Every Investor Needs to Understand About Money and Finance and Understanding the Modern Monetary System.

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